|
|
I have worked with the Lichtenberg Method - the Successive Principle - since 1991. In the beginning through my work at Ericsson Diax in Struer as Project Director and Chief Technical Officer and from 2003 as independant Consultant.
I have used the Successive Principle on: Development Projects, Customer Projects, Building Projects, Budgets, Business Plans and SWOT-analysis; in short on plans that per definition are uncertain.
I have been external teacher at DIEU on their course regarding Project Management and Risk Management, where I told about practical use of the method.
I have in real life often been stunned by the effectiveness of the method. Despite it being easy to comprehend and straight forward to use, it has shown its strength, both as a process and as a tool, in cases that otherwise were difficult to control. AS the method is Top-Down the process can be applied very early, and best before the decisions are made. |
|
The Method is based upon the fact that there is a statistical correlation between the subjective estimates of relevant people based upon knowledge and experience and the real uncertainties that turns up during a project.
(The Subjective Probability Theory)
The Process is executed with a broad analysis group and secures the buy-in from all participants.
The Action Plan secures that the Project Manager deals with the ”real” problems. Besides this, the method facilitates that areas that normally are "fluffy", like eg. in a SWOT analysis, can be given a value.
 |
